Mt.Hotham & Falls Creek Snow Forecast 2018

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This page contains a series of weather forecasts, primarily aimed at snowfall prediction at Mt.Hotham & Falls Creek. Included is a custom forecast based upon GFS for forecasting snowfall at Mt.Hotham & Falls Creek, extended 7 Day forecasts from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology for Mt.Hotham and Falls Creek, as well as the BoM Victorian Alpine Region, and BoM Snowy Mountains forecast

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This experimental 7 day forecast is based upon current forecast data provided by the Global Forecast System (GFS), specific localised data, and historical snowfall patterns. This forecast is automatically generated, and is not quality controlled by a human. You should also consult official Alpine forecasts issued by the Australian BoM which are listed below for convenience.

Extended BoM Mt.Hotham Weather Forecast

Forecast Issued 03:59AM, Wednesday 9th of December

Wednesday 9th10 to 17°CSunny.
Thursday 10th9 to 16°CShower or two.
Friday 11th6 to 13°CPossible shower developing.
Saturday 12th-2 to 10°CPartly cloudy.
Sunday 13th0 to 15°CSunny.
Monday 14th7 to 18°CMostly sunny.
Tuesday 15th9 to 18°CPossible early shower.

Extended BoM Falls Creek Weather Forecast

Forecast Issued 03:59AM, Wednesday 9th of December

Wednesday 9th11 to 18°CSunny.
Thursday 10th10 to 17°CShower or two.
Friday 11th7 to 14°CPossible shower developing.
Saturday 12th-1 to 11°CPartly cloudy.
Sunday 13th2 to 15°CSunny.
Monday 14th7 to 19°CMostly sunny.
Tuesday 15th10 to 19°CPossible early shower.

Offical BoM Victorian Alpine Forecast

IDV10717
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

Mount Hotham Forecast
Issued at 4:30 pm EDT on Tuesday 11 December 2018
for the period until midnight EDT Tuesday 18 December 2018.

Warning Information
Details of warnings are available on the Bureau's website www.bom.gov.au, by
telephone 1300-659-217* or through some TV and radio broadcasts.

Forecast for the rest of Tuesday 11 December
Partly cloudy. Medium (50%) chance of showers, becoming less likely later this
evening. The chance of a thunderstorm early this evening. Light winds.

Precis: Shower or two.                
Chance of any rain: 50%                 


Forecast for Wednesday 12 December
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in
the afternoon and evening. Winds north to northwesterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming
light in the late afternoon then becoming northerly 20 to 25 km/h in the late
evening.

Precis: Shower or two developing.     Min 9     Max 18    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm     Chance of any rain: 70%                 


Fire Danger: 
High

Sun protection 8:40am to 5:20pm, UV Index predicted to reach 13 [Extreme]

Forecast for Thursday 13 December
Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Winds northerly 20 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day.

Precis: Rain. Possible storms.        Min 11    Max 14    
Possible rainfall: 15 to 30 mm   Chance of any rain: 100%                


Forecast for Friday 14 December
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, mostly clearing by early evening.
The risk of thunderstorms in the morning. Light winds.

Precis: Showers.                      Min 9     Max 13    
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm    Chance of any rain: 90%                 


Forecast for Saturday 15 December
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers, chiefly in the afternoon and
evening. The risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Light winds.

Precis: A few showers. Possible storm.Min 8     Max 15    
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm     Chance of any rain: 70%                 


Forecast for Sunday 16 December
Partly cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The risk of thunderstorms. Winds
northerly 15 to 20 km/h.

Precis: A few showers. Possible storm.Min 8     Max 13    
Possible rainfall: 1 to 4 mm     Chance of any rain: 70%                 


Forecast for Monday 17 December
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. Light winds
becoming northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during the morning.

Precis: Possible late shower.         Min 9     Max 17    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.2 mm   Chance of any rain: 40%                 


Forecast for Tuesday 18 December
A mostly sunny morning. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. The
risk of thunderstorms later in the day. Light winds.

Precis: Possible late shower or storm.Min 11    Max 16    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm     Chance of any rain: 40%                 


The next routine forecast will be issued at 5:30 am EDT Wednesday.

* Calls to 1300 numbers cost around 27.5c incl. GST, higher from mobiles or
public phones.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
IDV10715
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria

Mount Buller Forecast
Issued at 4:30 pm EDT on Tuesday 11 December 2018
for the period until midnight EDT Tuesday 18 December 2018.

Warning Information
Details of warnings are available on the Bureau's website www.bom.gov.au, by
telephone 1300-659-217* or through some TV and radio broadcasts.

Forecast for the rest of Tuesday 11 December
Mostly clear. The chance of a thunderstorm early this evening. Light winds.

Precis: Mostly clear.                 
Chance of any rain: 10%                 


Forecast for Wednesday 12 December
Partly cloudy. Medium (60%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The
chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 20
to 25 km/h tending northerly 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then tending
northeasterly 25 to 35 km/h in the evening.

Precis: Shower or two developing.     Min 11    Max 19    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 2 mm     Chance of any rain: 60%                 


Fire Danger: 
High

Sun protection 8:40am to 5:30pm, UV Index predicted to reach 12 [Extreme]

Forecast for Thursday 13 December
Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm.
Heavy falls possible. Winds north to northeasterly 20 to 30 km/h becoming light
in the morning then becoming east to northeasterly 20 to 25 km/h in the evening.

Precis: Rain. Possible storms.        Min 12    Max 16    
Possible rainfall: 20 to 50 mm   Chance of any rain: 100%                


Forecast for Friday 14 December
Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of showers, mostly clearing by early evening.
The risk of thunderstorms in the morning. Winds northeasterly 20 to 25 km/h
becoming light during the morning.

Precis: Showers.                      Min 9     Max 14    
Possible rainfall: 5 to 15 mm    Chance of any rain: 90%                 


Forecast for Saturday 15 December
Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of showers in the afternoon and evening. The
risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Winds northeasterly 20 to
30 km/h increasing to 30 to 35 km/h during the evening.

Precis: Showers. Possible storm.      Min 8     Max 16    
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm     Chance of any rain: 80%                 


Forecast for Sunday 16 December
Cloudy. High (70%) chance of showers. The risk of thunderstorms. Winds
northeasterly 25 to 30 km/h turning north to northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h during
the morning.

Precis: A few showers. Possible storm.Min 9     Max 14    
Possible rainfall: 2 to 6 mm     Chance of any rain: 70%                 


Forecast for Monday 17 December
Partly cloudy. Slight (30%) chance of showers later in the day. Winds
northwesterly 15 to 20 km/h.

Precis: Possible shower.              Min 10    Max 19    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 0.4 mm   Chance of any rain: 30%                 


Forecast for Tuesday 18 December
Partly cloudy. Medium (40%) chance of showers later in the day. The risk of
thunderstorms later in the day. Light winds.

Precis: Possible late shower or storm.Min 12    Max 16    
Possible rainfall: 0 to 1 mm     Chance of any rain: 40%                 


The next routine forecast will be issued at 5:30 am EDT Wednesday.

* Calls to 1300 numbers cost around 27.5c incl. GST, higher from mobiles or
public phones.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Official BoM NSW Snowy Mountains Alpine Forecast

IDN10103
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
ACT

SNOWY MOUNTAINS REGION FORECAST
Covering Southern Tablelands and Southwest Slopes above 1200 metres
Issued at 4:30pm on Monday the 25th of May 2009

Warning Summary at issue time:
Nil. 

Warning Summary at issue time:
A cold front and combined trough is moving through Victoria and southern NSW
where it is producing widespread rainfall. This system will weaken as it
approaches the region, bringing light rainfall tonight and through Tuesday,
before clearing on Wednesday.  A strong high will build in the Bight in the wake
of the change, southerly winds associated with the high are forecast to steer
some cold air from the Southern Ocean over the region late in the week.  This
may be sufficient to trigger some isolated snow showers about the peaks on
Friday or Saturday.

For the latest warning information please check the Bureau's web site
www.bom.gov.au/weather/nsw
Forecast for the remainder of Monday   
Cloudy, with light rain developing overnight. Moderate northwest winds.
chance of snow     1500 m     1900 m
Night (6 pm/6 am)     0 %          0 %


Forecast for Tuesday  
Cloudy with periods of light rain. Moderate northwest winds.
UV Alert:  Nil , UV Index predicted to reach 2 [Low]
Thredbo Top Station Light rain.                    Min:   2 Max:   5
Perisher Valley     Light rain.                    Min:   2 Max:   7
Cabramurra          Light rain.                    Min:   6 Max:   9

chance of snow     1500 m     1900 m
Day (6 am/6 pm)       0 %         0 %
Night (6 pm/6 am)     0 %        10 %

Forecast for Wednesday
Clearing shower. Moderate westerly winds.  
Thredbo Top Station Mostly fine.                   Min:  -1 Max:   3

Forecast for Thursday 
Fine and mostly sunny.  Southerly winds. 
Thredbo Top Station Fine, mostly sunny.            Min:  -4 Max:   2

Forecast for Friday   
Chance of snow showers. 
Thredbo Top Station Chance of a snow shower.       Min:  -3 Max:   1

Snow Depth Observations                            Depth (cm)
Spencers Creek (1830 m - out from Charlotte Pass)    17.8
Deep Creek (1620 m - SW of Cabramurra))              0.0
Three Mile Dam (1460 m SW of Kiandra)                0.0
Source: Snowy Hydro, updated weekly, Last updated:   21 May, 2009

Quantitative rainfall      Cabramurra  Perisher Valley
Tonight (3 pm/9 am)              0             0
Tuesday   (24 h from 9 am)       2             2
Wednesday (24 h from 9 am)       0             0

Range                         0     1     2     3     4     5     6
Precipitation (mm)           <1    1-5  6-10  11-20 21-40 41-80  >80
The next routine forecast will be issued at 5:30 am EST Tuesday