11:00pm 15/07/2026 to 11:00pm 17/07/2026
Maximum observed rainfall by duration, estimated return period and AEP
Duration
Rainfall
Start
End
Years
AEP
10m
0.4 mm
7:40pm 16/07/2026
7:50pm 16/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
20m
0.6 mm
12:20am 17/07/2026
12:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30m
1.0 mm
12:10am 17/07/2026
12:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
60m
1.0 mm
11:40pm 16/07/2026
12:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
90m
1.2 mm
11:50pm 16/07/2026
1:20am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
120m
1.2 mm
11:20pm 16/07/2026
1:20am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
3h
1.4 mm
11:40pm 16/07/2026
2:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
4h
1.4 mm
10:10pm 16/07/2026
2:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
6h
1.6 mm
7:20pm 16/07/2026
1:20am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
9h
2.2 mm
10:40pm 16/07/2026
7:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
12h
2.6 mm
7:40pm 16/07/2026
7:40am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
18h
3.0 mm
3:00pm 16/07/2026
9:00am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
24h
3.0 mm
3:00pm 16/07/2026
3:00pm 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30h
3.2 mm
2:00am 16/07/2026
8:00am 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
36h
3.2 mm
2:00am 16/07/2026
2:00pm 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
48h
3.2 mm
11:00pm 15/07/2026
11:00pm 17/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
Note: A '1 in 1.0 years' estimate means that it is almost certain to occur at least once in a year, and could occur much more than once per year on average. For smaller values like this the Annual Recurrance Interval (ARI) may be of more relevance, but it is complex to calculate for common events.
IFD describes how rainfall intensity relates to how long it lasts and how often it happens. It is the basis for design rainfall used in engineering and flood studies.
- Duration: the length of the rainfall burst, from a few minutes to several days.
- AEP (Annual Exceedance Probability): the chance, in any one year, of a rainfall of that depth or greater. A 1% AEP event has a 1 in 100 chance each year - what is often loosely called a '1 in 100 year' event.
- The curves show design rainfall depths for a range of AEPs. The observed maximums for this location and period are plotted against them so you can see how rare the event was.
Design rainfall data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.

