3:30am 20/08/2026 to 3:30am 22/08/2026
Maximum observed rainfall by duration, estimated return period and AEP
Duration
Rainfall
Start
End
Years
AEP
10m
1.4 mm
1:10am 22/08/2026
1:20am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
20m
1.8 mm
1:00am 22/08/2026
1:20am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30m
2.4 mm
12:50am 22/08/2026
1:20am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
60m
3.8 mm
12:30am 22/08/2026
1:30am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
90m
4.2 mm
12:30am 22/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
120m
4.2 mm
11:50pm 21/08/2026
1:50am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
3h
5.0 mm
10:50pm 21/08/2026
1:50am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
4h
5.2 mm
9:50pm 21/08/2026
2:20am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
6h
5.2 mm
8:00pm 21/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
9h
5.2 mm
5:00pm 21/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
12h
5.2 mm
2:00pm 21/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
18h
7.8 mm
8:30am 21/08/2026
2:30am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
24h
8.6 mm
2:00am 21/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30h
8.8 mm
8:00pm 20/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
36h
10.8 mm
2:00pm 20/08/2026
2:00am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
48h
12.8 mm
3:30am 20/08/2026
3:30am 22/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
Note: A '1 in 1.0 years' estimate means that it is almost certain to occur at least once in a year, and could occur much more than once per year on average. For smaller values like this the Annual Recurrance Interval (ARI) may be of more relevance, but it is complex to calculate for common events.
IFD describes how rainfall intensity relates to how long it lasts and how often it happens. It is the basis for design rainfall used in engineering and flood studies.
- Duration: the length of the rainfall burst, from a few minutes to several days.
- AEP (Annual Exceedance Probability): the chance, in any one year, of a rainfall of that depth or greater. A 1% AEP event has a 1 in 100 chance each year - what is often loosely called a '1 in 100 year' event.
- The curves show design rainfall depths for a range of AEPs. The observed maximums for this location and period are plotted against them so you can see how rare the event was.
Design rainfall data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.

