6:45am 27/07/2026 to 6:45am 29/07/2026
Maximum observed rainfall by duration, estimated return period and AEP
Duration
Rainfall
Start
End
Years
AEP
15m
3.0 mm
9:30pm 28/07/2026
9:45pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30m
3.8 mm
9:30pm 28/07/2026
10:00pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
45m
5.2 mm
9:00pm 28/07/2026
9:45pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
60m
6.0 mm
9:00pm 28/07/2026
10:00pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
90m
8.8 mm
8:15pm 28/07/2026
9:45pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
120m
10.6 mm
8:15pm 28/07/2026
10:15pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1.0 years
100.0 %
3h
13.2 mm
7:30pm 28/07/2026
10:30pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1.0 years
99.84 %
4h
14.0 mm
7:15pm 28/07/2026
11:45pm 28/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
6h
14.8 mm
7:00pm 28/07/2026
1:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
9h
16.0 mm
7:30pm 28/07/2026
4:30am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
12h
17.2 mm
6:00pm 28/07/2026
6:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
18h
17.2 mm
12:00pm 28/07/2026
6:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
24h
17.8 mm
6:00am 28/07/2026
6:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30h
17.8 mm
12:00am 28/07/2026
6:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
36h
17.8 mm
6:00pm 27/07/2026
6:00am 29/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
Note: A '1 in 1.0 years' estimate means that it is almost certain to occur at least once in a year, and could occur much more than once per year on average. For smaller values like this the Annual Recurrance Interval (ARI) may be of more relevance, but it is complex to calculate for common events.
IFD describes how rainfall intensity relates to how long it lasts and how often it happens. It is the basis for design rainfall used in engineering and flood studies.
- Duration: the length of the rainfall burst, from a few minutes to several days.
- AEP (Annual Exceedance Probability): the chance, in any one year, of a rainfall of that depth or greater. A 1% AEP event has a 1 in 100 chance each year - what is often loosely called a '1 in 100 year' event.
- The curves show design rainfall depths for a range of AEPs. The observed maximums for this location and period are plotted against them so you can see how rare the event was.
Design rainfall data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.

