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You can find out more about Design Rainfall and IFD here.
Observations for this analysis :
Maximum observed rainfall by duration, estimated return period and AEP
Duration
Rainfall
Start
End
Years
AEP
15m
2.8 mm
1:45pm 13/07/2026
2:00pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30m
3.6 mm
1:30pm 13/07/2026
2:00pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
45m
4.2 mm
1:30pm 13/07/2026
2:15pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
60m
5.2 mm
1:45pm 13/07/2026
2:45pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
90m
7.0 mm
1:30pm 13/07/2026
3:00pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
120m
7.6 mm
11:45am 14/07/2026
1:45pm 14/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
3h
10.4 mm
1:30pm 13/07/2026
4:30pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
4h
13.6 mm
1:30pm 13/07/2026
6:00pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
6h
15.4 mm
9:45am 14/07/2026
3:45pm 14/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
9h
18.2 mm
7:30am 13/07/2026
4:30pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
12h
22.6 mm
7:30am 13/07/2026
7:30pm 13/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
18h
26.0 mm
7:30am 13/07/2026
1:30am 14/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
24h
34.4 mm
1:45pm 13/07/2026
1:45pm 14/07/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30h
43.6 mm
9:45am 13/07/2026
3:45pm 14/07/2026
1 in 1.0 years
99.93 %
36h
49.2 mm
7:30am 13/07/2026
7:30pm 14/07/2026
1 in 1.0 years
99.82 %
Note: A '1 in 1.0 years' estimate means that it is almost certain to occur at least once in a year, and could occur much more than once per year on average. For smaller values like this the Annual Recurrance Interval (ARI) may be of more relevance, but it is complex to calculate for common events.
IFD describes how rainfall intensity relates to how long it lasts and how often it happens. It is the basis for design rainfall used in engineering and flood studies.
- Duration: the length of the rainfall burst, from a few minutes to several days.
- AEP (Annual Exceedance Probability): the chance, in any one year, of a rainfall of that depth or greater. A 1% AEP event has a 1 in 100 chance each year - what is often loosely called a '1 in 100 year' event.
- The curves show design rainfall depths for a range of AEPs. The observed maximums for this location and period are plotted against them so you can see how rare the event was.
Design rainfall data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.
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