6:45pm 14/08/2026 to 6:45pm 16/08/2026
Maximum observed rainfall by duration, estimated return period and AEP
Duration
Rainfall
Start
End
Years
AEP
15m
29.0 mm
11:30am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 3.6 years
27.8 %
30m
29.0 mm
11:15am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.5 years
65.52 %
45m
29.0 mm
11:00am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.2 years
80.83 %
60m
29.0 mm
10:45am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.1 years
88.85 %
90m
29.0 mm
10:15am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.1 years
95.1 %
120m
29.0 mm
9:45am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.0 years
97.03 %
3h
29.0 mm
8:45am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.0 years
98.66 %
4h
29.0 mm
7:15am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.0 years
99.5 %
6h
29.0 mm
5:45am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1.0 years
99.84 %
9h
29.0 mm
2:45am 16/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
12h
29.0 mm
11:45pm 15/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
18h
29.0 mm
5:45pm 15/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
24h
29.0 mm
11:45am 15/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
30h
29.0 mm
5:45am 15/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
36h
29.0 mm
11:45pm 14/08/2026
11:45am 16/08/2026
1 in 1 years
100.0 %
Note: A '1 in 1.0 years' estimate means that it is almost certain to occur at least once in a year, and could occur much more than once per year on average. For smaller values like this the Annual Recurrance Interval (ARI) may be of more relevance, but it is complex to calculate for common events.
IFD describes how rainfall intensity relates to how long it lasts and how often it happens. It is the basis for design rainfall used in engineering and flood studies.
- Duration: the length of the rainfall burst, from a few minutes to several days.
- AEP (Annual Exceedance Probability): the chance, in any one year, of a rainfall of that depth or greater. A 1% AEP event has a 1 in 100 chance each year - what is often loosely called a '1 in 100 year' event.
- The curves show design rainfall depths for a range of AEPs. The observed maximums for this location and period are plotted against them so you can see how rare the event was.
Design rainfall data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.

